transfer case is out.
View attachment 210323
As I suspected based on some of the video screenshots above, the splines are on a larger section of the output shaft, adjacent to a smaller section between the splines and the output shaft seal. The smaller section is equal to or smaller than the minor diameter of the splines, so even if the NP231J input gear is longer than the splines, they won't hit a hard stop like they would on an AX15.
The output seal measures 2-3/8" (+/- 1/32") from the mounting flange, which should be enough for the 2.1" long input gear on my SYE'd 231, though I would have loved if the difference was big enough to be obvious without all the straightedge and caliper stuff I had to pull to get an accurate measurement of the output seal depth.