13 states have passed laws to make all cars sold be EV by 2030-2035. That only 10 years… small time for R&D. Popularity of EV doesn’t matter… it’s coming. As infrastructure builds so will demand. If Savvy and Rockjock don’t, someone else will
This is a very complicated thing to discuss.
Those states will bump that if necessary and I don't see there being infrastructure in place to support all of the vehicles and trucks commuting on the road that need to stop to charge up.
The quick and dirty math tells us that it takes about 5-15 minutes to fill up a standard vehicle with gas/diesel. It takes hours to charge up a battery. Even if it took 30-45 minutes that's still way too long. Commerce would suffer and the economy would suffer. There would be stacks and stacks of ppl waiting and that's just not practical. If we use faster chargers, are we confident that the tools will be sustainable or will many chargers prove to be unreliable?
Not to mention that private companies in those states will have a say regarding the implementation of policy, and so will the private citizens of those states who can't afford a new EV. Politicians don't like losing their office seat and you can bet someone will be running marketing ads trying to take it from them, so they don't get to just do what they want without recourse. Those states would likely have to tax the very people/entities that they wish to impose regulations on in order to pay for the infrastructure. Good luck. I'd imagine there will be some legit Due Process and Commerce Clause arguments taken to SCOTUS over that shit.
Also, let's imagine a world where we have battery-changing stations instead of charging stations. Let's say they can even swap out your battery in 15-20 minutes. Sounds great. Except, there needs to be massive and standardized infrastructure for this to become operational let alone the standard (in the next ten years!). Then ask yourself who's gonna pay for that to be set up and who's gonna foot the bill for car companies to keep making current sales yet expand for the future. Bottom line is that legit innovation is great, but rushed innovation is no innovation at all. It's stupidity signed by someone with a pen who's ignorant about tech and how the world actually works. Or they don't actually care and just want it to sound good so they can get votes (it's pretty easy to get votes by talking about a feel-good dream, but later detailing how to accomplish the dream may bring harsh criticism).
Bottom line is that we are nowhere near a 1:1 move to EVs in a practical sense and it takes little effort to figure that out. We have many hurdles to overcome on this subject that needs to be done in a seamless manner for the economy to not suffer. I believe we will get there, I just think it's laughable that we think we will be there in a decade simply because some folks with a pen said "yea let's do that."
There needs to be a major breakthrough in order for things to accelerate, and I believe that's why the US was funding Tesla. The gov't could give a fuck about a car. The US was investing in a hopeful breakthrough in battery tech. That's my opinion based on the little I know.
Disclaimer: I know nothing.