The national vote is a poll.... the electoral college prediction is different. It's based on an average of state and internal polling. It's represented as a % chance of winning... not a polling average. It's not unlike the betting sites who also have him winning. The interesting thing about the betting sites is that they take into account the possibilities for fraud. There is over 4B bet on the race now....
I'm voting for the party with the hot chicks
Oh I think Trump will win. Hopefully easily clearing the margin-of-cheat. I just think calling it that confidently is questionable.
It's Nate Silver... he's been left of center on most of his predictions over the years.
I agree that it won't be that easy but Silver also uses the internal polling. That has suddenly put VA in play in recent days btw...